Maine's Frontrunner: Abolish ICE. 69%.

Maine has a new frontrunner, and he is not what the word frontrunner used to mean in Maine.

Troy Jackson, the Democrat leading the state's Senate race, campaigns on abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement and passing Medicare for All. In an October debate he said he would cut off ICE funding and shift its law enforcement duties to Customs and Border Protection, arguing the agency cannot be reformed. His campaign profile lists the same two planks plainly: Medicare for All on the national level, and dismantle and abolish ICE.

And the betting market loves it. Polymarket traders priced Jackson at 69% against incumbent Senator Susan Collins at 32% on October 31, with $3.1 million traded on the race. That is a betting market, not a poll — the numbers move when money moves, and they are not votes. But the market's verdict is the joke: the state famous for sending careful moderates to Washington is now priced to send its most abolish-everything candidate instead.

The moderate state's new frontrunner isn't moderate. He is the whole platform, abolish first, explain later, and the traders have already placed their bets. The voters get their turn on November 3.

The underlying reporting is filed in the Evidence Locker: The Well News (Oct. 20, 2026); Polymarket (Oct. 31, 2026).